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Market risk — VaR back-testing (FRTB)

A trading desk's daily VaR back-test measured against actual and hypothetical P&L, with the traffic-light zone and the exception count computed from the series rather than transcribed.

Mistakes we hid in this data on purpose

  • — Actual and hypothetical P&L differ, so the exception count depends on which one the back-test is run against — the distinction FRTB turns on and the one a transcribed figure loses.
  • — Every column is bound by hand: this pack proposes no mapping, because a book whose `hpl` and `rtpl` columns were matched by name could have them transposed with nothing noticing.
  • — No claimed exception rate is on file, so the traffic-light zone is reported and the model owner's own expectation is not judged against — it was never declared.

This is made-up data, and nothing on this page is precomputed — it runs through the real checking engine right now.

The evidence, and what was declared about it

Book
Desk A daily back-test — synthetic
Source
AlphaIQ synthetic back-test book (market-backtest-dgp.json)
Fixture
market-backtest-desk-a.csv
Model
Desk A VaR Model v2.4

This sample has no pass/fail target on file — on purpose. Nobody handed us the institution’s own cutoffs, so each number below is reported but not graded, and that is exactly why the recommendation below reads the way it does.